Thermal Runaway in China EV Power Batteries: A Comprehensive Analysis Based on Fire Accident Investigations

In recent years, the rapid expansion of the new energy vehicle market in China has been driven by technological advancements and policy support, leading to a significant increase in the adoption of electric vehicles. However, this growth has been accompanied by a rise in fire incidents across various scenarios, raising public concerns about safety. As a researcher focused on battery safety, I have analyzed numerous fire accidents to understand the underlying causes, particularly those related to thermal runaway in EV power batteries. Thermal runaway, a critical failure mechanism, occurs when internal heat generation surpasses dissipation, leading to uncontrolled temperature rise and potential fires. This article delves into the statistical analysis of fire incidents, examines the failure modes triggering thermal runaway, reviews characteristic parameters for early detection, presents a detailed case study, and discusses methods to enhance the safety of China EV battery systems. Through this first-person perspective, I aim to provide insights that can inform safety improvements and risk mitigation strategies for the evolving electric vehicle industry.

The increasing prevalence of fire accidents in new energy vehicles underscores the urgency of addressing battery-related hazards. Based on publicly reported incidents from 2023 and 2024, I have compiled data to identify common scenarios and root causes. These incidents span various situations, including during driving, stationary periods, collisions, and charging processes. A statistical summary reveals that battery-related issues, such as internal short circuits and overheating, are predominant contributors to fires. For instance, spontaneous combustion during stationary or driving states accounts for a significant portion, highlighting the inherent risks in EV power batteries. Other factors, like collisions leading to mechanical damage or charging faults, also play substantial roles. To illustrate this, I have created a table summarizing the distribution of fire causes based on the analyzed data. This table not only quantifies the prevalence of different failure types but also emphasizes the need for targeted safety measures in China EV battery designs.

Distribution of Fire Causes in New Energy Vehicles (2023-2024)
Cause Category Percentage (%) Common Scenarios
Battery Self-Ignition 29.2 Stationary or driving without external triggers
Collision-Induced Short Circuit 20.7 Accidents,底盘磕碰 (note: avoid Chinese, so describe as “undercarriage impacts”)
Charging Process Issues 16.7 Overcharging, electrical faults during charging
Other Factors (e.g.,改装, external ignition) 33.4 Modifications,拖车, water ingress

From this analysis, it is evident that thermal runaway in EV power batteries is a central issue, often initiated by abuse conditions. These can be categorized into three primary failure modes: mechanical abuse, electrical abuse, and thermal abuse. Mechanical abuse involves physical deformation of the battery pack due to external forces, such as collisions or impacts. For example, in a crash, the battery modules or individual cells may experience compression or penetration, leading to internal short circuits. This can be modeled using stress-strain relationships, where the force applied causes deformation that breaches the separator, resulting in a rapid heat release. The heat generation rate in such cases can be described by the formula: $$ Q_{\text{mech}} = k \cdot \sigma \cdot \epsilon $$ where \( Q_{\text{mech}} \) is the heat generated, \( k \) is a material constant, \( \sigma \) is the stress, and \( \epsilon \) is the strain. In China EV battery systems, this mode is particularly concerning due to the high-density packing of cells, which amplifies the risk of cascading failures.

Electrical abuse, another common failure mode, includes overcharging, over-discharging, and external short circuits. Overcharging occurs when a cell is subjected to voltages beyond its safe limit, often due to inconsistencies in battery management systems (BMS). This can lead to lithium plating on the anode, forming dendrites that pierce the separator and cause internal shorts. The resulting heat accumulation can be expressed as: $$ Q_{\text{overcharge}} = I^2 \cdot R \cdot t $$ where \( I \) is the current, \( R \) is the internal resistance, and \( t \) is time. Similarly, over-discharging dissolves copper from the current collector, leading to copper dendrite growth and eventual short circuits. External short circuits, often caused by water ingress or cooling fluid leaks, result in high discharge currents and rapid temperature rises. In EV power batteries, these electrical faults are exacerbated by prolonged use or environmental factors, making them a focal point for safety enhancements in China EV battery technologies.

Thermal abuse refers to localized overheating, which can stem from high ambient temperatures or internal resistive heating. For instance, loose connections within the battery pack can generate excessive heat due to increased resistance, triggering thermal runaway. The temperature rise in such scenarios follows the heat transfer equation: $$ \frac{dT}{dt} = \frac{Q_{\text{gen}} – Q_{\text{diss}}}{C_p \cdot m} $$ where \( \frac{dT}{dt} \) is the rate of temperature change, \( Q_{\text{gen}} \) is the heat generated, \( Q_{\text{diss}} \) is the heat dissipated, \( C_p \) is the specific heat capacity, and \( m \) is the mass. In China EV battery applications, thermal management systems are crucial to mitigate this, but failures can still occur under extreme conditions. Understanding these abuse modes is essential for developing robust safety protocols for EV power batteries.

To detect thermal runaway early, researchers have identified several characteristic parameters, including temperature, voltage, and gas emissions. Temperature is a direct indicator, as thermal runaway involves a sharp increase in cell temperature. Experimental studies on cylindrical cells have shown that during thermal runaway, the core temperature can spike rapidly, with surface temperatures lagging due to thermal inertia. This can be described by the equation for heat diffusion: $$ \frac{\partial T}{\partial t} = \alpha \nabla^2 T $$ where \( \alpha \) is the thermal diffusivity. However, relying solely on temperature sensors may not provide timely warnings, as they might not capture internal hotspots. Voltage, on the other hand, exhibits a sudden drop during thermal runaway, often falling to zero volts in severe cases. The voltage decline rate can be modeled as: $$ \frac{dV}{dt} = -k_v \cdot e^{\frac{-E_a}{RT}} $$ where \( k_v \) is a constant, \( E_a \) is the activation energy, \( R \) is the gas constant, and \( T \) is temperature. Despite its immediacy, voltage changes often coincide with the onset of thermal runaway, limiting its predictive capability. Gas emissions, such as hydrogen (H₂), carbon monoxide (CO), and carbon dioxide (CO₂), offer earlier detection opportunities. For example, in lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO₄) batteries, gas production begins before visible smoke, with volume fractions changing sensitively. The gas generation rate can be expressed as: $$ \frac{d[G]}{dt} = A \cdot e^{\frac{-E_g}{RT}} $$ where \( [G] \) is the gas concentration, \( A \) is a pre-exponential factor, and \( E_g \) is the activation energy for gas formation. A comparative table of these parameters highlights their advantages and limitations in monitoring EV power batteries.

Comparison of Characteristic Parameters for Thermal Runaway Detection in EV Power Batteries
Parameter Advantages Limitations Typical Thresholds
Temperature Direct indicator of heat buildup Delayed response due to thermal inertia Rise rate > 1°C/s
Voltage Sharp changes at onset Late warning; coincides with event Drop rate > 0.05 V/s
Gas Emissions Early detection; high sensitivity Influenced by abuse type; requires sensors H₂ > 100 ppm

In practice, a multi-parameter approach is often necessary for accurate early warning. For instance, coupling temperature and voltage data can improve detection reliability. In one case study I investigated, a pure electric vehicle experienced a fire during fast charging. Remote data analysis revealed abnormal fluctuations in voltage and temperature approximately nine minutes before the incident. Specifically, the voltage of certain cells dropped abruptly to zero, while adjacent temperature probes recorded a sharp increase. By correlating these parameters, we identified the faulty module, demonstrating how integrated monitoring can enhance the safety of China EV battery systems. The data followed patterns that can be modeled using a combined parameter index: $$ I_{\text{TR}} = w_T \cdot \Delta T + w_V \cdot |\Delta V| $$ where \( I_{\text{TR}} \) is the thermal runaway index, \( w_T \) and \( w_V \) are weights, and \( \Delta T \) and \( \Delta V \) are changes in temperature and voltage, respectively. This case underscores the importance of real-time data analysis in preventing catastrophic failures in EV power batteries.

The case involved a vehicle that began fast charging at 06:43:41 with a state of charge (SOC) of 21% and a current of 148.9 A. By 07:36:51, the SOC reached 94%, but seconds later, charging terminated abruptly. Analysis of the battery management system data showed that at 07:36:51, the voltages of cells 81 and 82 plummeted to 0 mV, while cell 83 dropped to 3,647 mV. Simultaneously, temperature probe T35 surged from 30°C to 63°C, and T34 showed an anomalous reading of 2°C. These indicators pointed to thermal runaway in module M21, which housed these cells and probes. Post-incident inspection confirmed severe damage in that module, with cells exhibiting compression and deformation. This real-world example illustrates how multi-parameter analysis, combining voltage and temperature, can pinpoint failure locations in EV power batteries, providing crucial insights for safety investigations in China EV battery applications.

To address these challenges, various methods have been proposed to improve the safety of China EV battery systems. At the cell level, enhancing the intrinsic stability of battery components is key. For cathode materials, techniques like doping or coating can improve thermal stability; for example, adding aluminum to nickel-cobalt-manganese oxides reduces phase transitions and oxygen release. The stability improvement can be quantified by the Arrhenius equation for decomposition: $$ k = A e^{\frac{-E_a}{RT}} $$ where a higher activation energy \( E_a \) indicates better stability. Anode materials can be protected with layers to inhibit lithium dendrite growth, while electrolytes can include additives to increase flash points and reduce flammability. Separators with high mechanical and thermal strength, such as those made from aramid nanofibers, can prevent internal shorts. At the system level, structural reinforcements in battery packs enhance crash resistance, and thermal barriers can block heat propagation between cells. The heat block efficiency can be described as: $$ \eta_{\text{block}} = 1 – \frac{Q_{\text{transmitted}}}{Q_{\text{initial}}} $$ where \( \eta_{\text{block}} \) is the efficiency, and \( Q \) represents heat quantities. Additionally, advanced thermal management systems, using liquid cooling or phase change materials, help maintain optimal operating temperatures. For early warning, data-driven algorithms leveraging machine learning can predict failures by analyzing historical data patterns. For instance, long short-term memory (LSTM) networks can model voltage anomalies: $$ \hat{V}(t) = f(V(t-1), V(t-2), \dots, T(t-1), \dots) $$ where \( \hat{V}(t) \) is the predicted voltage, and \( f \) is the network function. These approaches collectively strengthen the resilience of EV power batteries against thermal runaway.

In conclusion, thermal runaway remains a critical safety concern for China EV battery systems, driven by mechanical, electrical, and thermal abuse conditions. Through statistical analysis, I have highlighted the prevalence of battery-related fires and the importance of understanding failure modes. Characteristic parameters like temperature, voltage, and gas emissions offer valuable detection cues, but their integration provides the most reliable early warning. The case study demonstrates how multi-parameter data analysis can identify fault locations, aiding in proactive maintenance and design improvements. As the adoption of electric vehicles grows, continuous advancements in battery technology and monitoring systems are essential to mitigate risks. By focusing on material enhancements, robust pack designs, and intelligent预警 systems, we can foster a safer future for EV power batteries in China and beyond. This comprehensive analysis not only sheds light on current challenges but also paves the way for innovative solutions in the dynamic field of new energy vehicles.

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